If Obamacare’s Days are Numbered, What’s Next? Trumpcare.

The Affordable Care Act has withstood 62 repeal attempts by the House of Representatives and several challenges brought to the U.S. Supreme Court.  Now, with Donald Trump as President and a new Republican-led House and Senate, full or partial repeal of the ACA seem likely to occur sometime in 2017, perhaps with a delayed effective date.  What impact would an ACA repeal have on healthcare industry?  Is a full repeal possible?  What are the potential varieties and timing of any replacement “Trumpcare” programs?  Below are some of our initial thoughts on some of these questions. Provider uncertainty ahead. Several stock analysts have expressed concern that successful repeal of the ACA would have a negative financial impact on health care providers and that any replacement would not be as lucrative for providers.  The first immediate impact after the election of Trump was a sharp decline in stock prices for some healthcare services companies, although some medical device and pharmaceutical companies saw a rise in stock prices, presumably on theory that less regulation would be better for their businesses.  MACRA was the result of bi-partisan consensus to move into alternative payment models … Continue reading

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